年份 | 通货膨胀率(Y) | GDP增长率(X1) | 外汇储备(X2) | 货币供给量(X3) | 总指数(X4) | 工资指数(X5) |
1990 | 2.1 | 3.8 | 110.9 | 15293.4 | 105.6 | 112.7 |
1991 | 2.9 | 9.2 | 217.1 | 19349.9 | 109.1 | 112.6 |
1992 | 5.4 | 14.2 | 194.4 | 25402.2 | 111 | 118.5 |
1993 | 13.2 | 14 | 212 | 34879.8 | 135.1 | 124.8 |
1994 | 21.7 | 13.1 | 516.2 | 46293.5 | 118.2 | 135.4 |
1995 | 14.8 | 10.9 | 736 | 60750.5 | 115.3 | 121.7 |
1996 | 6.1 | 10 | 1050.3 | 76094.9 | 103.9 | 112.1 |
1997 | 0.8 | 9.3 | 1398.9 | 90995.3 | 101.3 | 103.6 |
1998 | -2.6 | 7.8 | 1449.6 | 104498.5 | 95.8 | 100.2 |
1999 | -3 | 7.6 | 1546.8 | 119897.9 | 96.7 | 106.2 |
2000 | -1.5 | 8.4 | 1655.7 | 134610.4 | 105.1 | 107.9 |
2001 | -0.8 | 8.3 | 2121.7 | 158301.9 | 99.8 | 111 |
2002 | -1.3 | 9.1 | 2864.1 | 185007 | 97.7 | 111.2 |
2003 | -0.1 | 10 | 4032.5 | 221222.8 | 104.8 | 112 |
2004 | 2.8 | 10.1 | 6099.3 | 254107 | 111.4 | 114.6 |
2005 | 0.8 | 10.4 | 8188.7 | 298755.7 | 108.3 | 117.1 |
2006 | 1 | 11.1 | 10663.4 | 345603.6 | 106 | 117.6 |
2007 | 3.8 | 11.4 | 15282.5 | 403442.2 | 104.4 | 121.4 |
以上是我的数据,没学好计量经济学。求高手帮忙。接下来要做哪些检验?(详细点吧 ) | ||||||
Dependent Variable: Y | ||||||
Method: Least Squares | ||||||
Date: 04/15/10 Time: 22:05 | ||||||
Sample: 1990 2007 | ||||||
Included observations: 18 | ||||||
Coefficient | Std. Error | t-Statistic | Prob. | |||
X1 | 0.237077 | 0.384459 | 0.616651 | 0.549 | ||
X2 | 0.000101 | 0.000566 | 0.17776 | 0.8619 | ||
X3 | -2.43E-05 | 2.03E-05 | -1.195257 | 0.2551 | ||
X4 | 0.023775 | 0.125272 | 0.189787 | 0.8526 | ||
X5 | 0.621924 | 0.139731 | 4.45086 | 0.0008 | ||
C | -69.24811 | 12.38417 | -5.591662 | 0.0001 | ||
R-squared | 0.885663 | Mean dependent var | 3.672222 | |||
Adjusted R-squared | 0.838023 | S.D. dependent var | 6.622316 | |||
S.E. of regression | 2.66524 | Akaike info criterion | 5.059667 | |||
Sum squared resid | 85.24208 | Schwarz criterion | 5.356458 | |||
Log likelihood | -39.537 | Hannan-Quinn criter. | 5.100591 | |||
F-statistic | 18.59065 | Durbin-Watson stat | 0.754826 | |||
Prob(F-statistic) | 0.000028 |